Thursday, January 22, 2009

On the other hand, we may be only 1/3 through....

“Credit losses could peak at a level of $3.6 trillion for U.S. institutions,” famous forecaster of doom and gloom Nouriel Roubini said this week, “half of them by banks and broker dealers. If that’s true, it means the U.S. banking system is effectively insolvent, because it starts with a capital of $1.4 trillion. This is a systemic banking crisis.”

Total financial write-downs and losses have now surpassed $1 trillion since the start of this crisis in mid-2007. That’s puts us barely a third of the way though this mess, if you follow Roubini’s logic.

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